It’s time for Game 2 between the Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors. The first game of this series didn’t go in the Mavericks’ favor. Currently down 0-1 in the series, they’ll look to climb back into it tonight in our NBA computer predictions.
However, the first thing they’ll need to do is find a way to create offense. If they don’t, they’ll find themselves in a similar position as they were in Game 1.
The Golden State Warriors game plan was very well thought out in Game 1. The first thing they did was target Luka Doncic, the Mavericks’ best player. Once Doncic became a non-factor, the Warriors were easily able to overwhelm the Mavericks.
Tonight, the game plan is likely very similar for the Warriors. Let’s build out a single-game parlay for the Western Conference Finals.
Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors Preview
The Mavericks are known for their stingy defense, but it didn’t show up in Game 1. For the first game of this series, Dallas allowed 112 points while scoring just 87. In that game, Doncic scored just 20 points, shooting 6 for 18.
For the Mavericks to win tonight’s game, they’ll need to do much better on offense. Someone other than Doncic needs to play a much larger role.
The Warriors put up 112 points against a defense that shut down the Phoenix Suns. How they did this was by stretching the court and using their bench effectively.
Jordan Poole had 19 points coming off the bench in Game 1; Otto Porter Jr. added 10. The Warriors limited the Mavericks’ Dorian Finney-Smith to just five points. Dwight Powell, the starting center, had just three points. We have also put this in our Bet of the day.
Against the Spread: Golden State Warriors -6
This spread is a little too large for us, but we have to take the Warriors here. Game 1 showed us that the Warriors don’t just have a strong offense but defense as well.
With how they shut down Doncic and the rest of the Mavericks offense, the Warriors should cover. Tim Hardaway Jr. is also out for the Mavericks; this leaves them without another scorer.
The Total: UNDER 214
We’re going to stick with the under here because we know what each of these defenses can do. Game 1 of this series stayed under the 216.5 total.
Although the total has been reduced here, we still believe the total will stay under.
In five of Dallas’ last six games, the total has gone under. The Warriors have a similar streak, with four of their last six games going under as well.
To Score 15+ Points: Spencer Dinwiddie +154
Dinwiddie has clearly emerged as a scorer for the Dallas Mavericks. In Game 1 of the series, he put up 17 points against the Warriors.
Considering he’ll be playing a more significant role in the offense, we’ll add this pick as well. If you’d like to get risky, you could take Dinwiddie to score 20 points which have +630 odds.
Player Points: Luka Doncic UNDER (31.5) -108
We don’t see Doncic being able to put a strong game together against the Warriors.
His last game ended in a 20-point outing, something we expect to see again. Until someone else on the Mavericks gives the Warriors trouble, Doncic will be their focal point.
With that much attention on defense, it’ll be hard for him to go over 31.5.