Down 2-1 in the series, the Memphis Grizzlies face Golden State for Game 4 of the series tonight. Unfortunately, after losing one of their first two games at home, the Grizzlies have fallen behind.
The good news is if they can get a win here, they’ll even up the series and return home. However, if they lose, they’ll go down 3-1 and need to win four games in a row to survive.
Everything is essentially going according to plan for the Warriors. They have the Grizzlies’ backs up against the wall at the moment. One more win at home, and they’ll take a solid lead in the series and only need one more game.
They’ve also stayed pretty healthy during this series, with only a few players out. They have a large spread to cover, though, which could be a problem. Take a look at all of our NBA computer predictions and Same game parlays.
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors Game Preview
The Grizzlies are in a poor spot at the moment; that much is certain. If they can’t find a way to get past the Warriors tonight, winning three in a row is a tall task.
So, tonight, they’ll first need to start by playing strong defense. Through the first three games of this series, they’ve allowed the Warriors to average 120 points per game. They can’t afford to keep letting them score this way.
Fortunately for the Warriors, the Grizzlies could be without Ja Morant. Morant suffered an injury to his knee and is currently listed as “day-to-day.”
If Morant is out, the Warriors will have less to worry about from Memphis’ offense. Golden State scored 142 points on them in Game 3, so they don’t need to do much on offense. It also looks like they should cover the 10-point spread.
Against the Spread: Golden State Warriors -10
This is a lot of points to cover, especially in the playoffs. However, with the Warriors averaging 120 points per game, they shouldn’t have much trouble. Through the series, the Warriors are 1-2 against the spread.
Most of these games, aside from the most recent, have stayed relatively close. However, if Ja Morant is on limited minutes, the Warriors should have no trouble here.
The Total: OVER 224
At this point, taking the over on the total just makes sense to us. The Warriors’ offense put up 142 points on their own just a few days ago. Each of these teams has the ability to score a lot of points, which we’ve seen so far.
The total has also gone over in seven of the Warriors’ last nine games. Keep these things in mind when you’re building out your single-game parlay.
To Score 15+ Points: Andrew Wiggins (-172)
We really like this pick because Wiggins could play a much larger role tonight. The Grizzlies will focus their defensive attention on Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. Wiggins, who averaged 17.2 points during the regular season, could make a bigger impact tonight. So far, he’s only averaged 13.0 points per game against the Grizzlies. Perhaps he takes a step up tonight.
Player Points: Klay Thompson UNDER 21.5
This is a player that we feel hasn’t taken a step forward in the postseason. Thompson is one of the best shooters in the NBA but only averages 20.4 points per game.
Against the Grizzlies, his average is even worse at 14.0. Because of this and the attention he’ll receive tonight, we’ll take Thompson going under 21.5.