Game 4 between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics is upon us. At the moment, the Miami Heat lead the series 2-1 after winning Game 3, 109-103.
Their defense proved too tough for the Celtics to overcome, who are now down a game. The Heat have to play another game in Boston before they can return home to Miami. Can they secure another win on the road tonight?
The Boston Celtics frankly can’t afford to lose tonight’s game, which is in our bet of the day. If they do, they’ll be down 3-1 in the series and have to head back to Miami.
However, winning this game over the Heat is a lot easier said than done. Boston’s offense needs to get back to what they do best, and the defense needs to step up too. Let’s take a look at the game and build out our single-game parlay.
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Preview
The Miami Heat have limited the Boston Celtics to an average of 112.33 points per game. Although this is a lot of points, most of them are from the Game 2 loss the Heat suffered.
Through their two wins, the Celtics have scored just 105 points per game. Miami has played really strong defensively, but their offense has also been quite the shock.
The Boston Celtics have started off this series as a bit of a disappointment. They played really well in their series against the Bucks but can’t seem to figure out Miami. They’ve allowed Miami to score 109.6 points per game.
It might not seem like a lot, but Miami has won games because of this offense. Tonight, the Celtics need to somehow limit the effectiveness of Miami’s offense.
Against the Spread: Miami Heat +7
The Heat come in as massive underdogs tonight, even though they lead the series. Now, this could be because the injury list is pretty long, but it’s the same for the Celtics.
In fact, there’s a chance that Kyle Lowry could return for the Miami Heat tonight. If Lowry returns, the Heat will have a much better chance of winning this game. The best pick here is taking Miami +7.
The Total: Over 207.5
Through the start of this series, all three games have gone over the total. We don’t expect that to change tonight. In fact, if you look at Miami’s last six games, you’ll see the total has gone over four times.
When playing on the road against Boston, the total has gone over five out of six times for Miami. The total is also set pretty low here, so we’ll definitely take the over tonight.
Win Margin: Boston Celtics (1-10) +170
Although we think the Miami Heat will cover the spread, we believe Boston will win the game. Keep in mind that we don’t think Boston will cover the seven points needed.
We believe this game will be pretty close, with Boston winning by five. They understand the importance of this game, so we’ll take Boston on the win margin.
Player Points: Jayson Tatum OVER 27.5 Points -108
The key player in tonight’s game will no doubt be Jayson Tatum. He’s the driving force behind the Celtics’ offense and has averaged 26.9 points per game.
He is dealing with a bit of an injury so keep that in mind before you add this bet. We think he’ll play through it and go over 27.5 points.